Eventual covers fake polls and manipulation risks, Florida election markets, and Robinhood’s prediction market boom with Luke Kawa, including retail trading, AI, IPO odds, Fed policy, and geopolitical markets. Suzy Weiss joins to launch pop culture market coverage, diving into Time Person of the Year, the Oscars, Gen Z politics, AI anxiety, and what prediction markets can tell us about culture.
Alex Keeney and Brian Golden break down the return of fake polling as a prediction market risk, Florida election markets around Byron Donalds, James Fishback, and Cory Mills, and what traders should watch as political markets become more vulnerable to manipulation.
Then Luke Kawa joins to discuss Robinhood’s prediction market boom, retail trading and WallStreetBets, AI capex and tech debt, Anthropic and OpenAI IPO odds, GPU prices, Fed markets, and whether markets are overreacting to Iran War headlines.
Finally, Suzy Weiss of The Free Press kicks off Eventual’s pop culture coverage with Time Person of the Year, Oscars and Best Picture markets, Gen Z politics, AI anxiety, youth culture, and what prediction markets can reveal about where culture is headed.
Guests: Luke Kawa (Sherwood News); Suzy Weiss (The Free Press)
Hosts: Alex Keeney and Brian Golden
More prediction market news and analysis at eventual.news.